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Bitcoin price hovers just above $29,000 ahead of expected rate hikes

Bitcoin was mostly flat on Tuesday, trading just above $29,000 as on-chain data suggests longer-term holders are moving coins to cold storage.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has stayed within a narrow range between around $29,000 and $31,500 for over a month now. It’s price rose 0.4% over the past 24 hours to trade at $29,259 at 3:21 p.m. in New York, according to CoinGecko

“Bitcoin exchange balances have seen a substantial decline, reaching levels last seen in January 2018 as traditional fund investors have demonstrated a renewed interest in the digital asset, contributing to the largest consecutive inflows into crypto-backed investment funds since the final quarter of 2021,” Bitfinex said in its weekly report.

Bitcoin exchange balances declining

“From its peak in March 2020, bitcoin exchange balances have declined by about 32 percent. While some of this decline may be attributed to the usage of alternatives such as decentralized exchanges, this is also a testament of how longer-term holders are moving coins to cold storage,” the Bitfinex Alpha report added.

The report’s authors said the decline in exchange reserves is positive for bitcoin’s price as more investors indicate the desire to accumulate rather than trade.

“Crypto-backed investment funds also saw a net inflow of $137 million last week, with 99% of this sum directed towards bitcoin-backed funds. The sustained inflows into bitcoin-backed funds indicate a strong investor confidence in the asset, despite the volatility inherent in the crypto market,” the report added.

The view correlates with CryptoQuant data that revealed a decrease in the amount of bitcoin held across all exchanges by almost 100,000 coins over the past month.
 
Bitcoin miners, meanwhile, have increased reserves on their affiliated wallets by around 2,000 coins in the same period. Both metrics indicate liquid bitcoin supply is shrinking as more coins are being stowed away in cold storage wallets.

Macroeconomic headwinds

On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its next rate decision, with analysts expecting a hike of 25 basis points to bring its target range to 5.25-5.50%. On Thursday, the ECB is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.25%.

Bitcoin tends to show weakness in the lead up to rate announcements as investors de-risk, especially if a hawkish move is anticipated. Close attention will be given to the wording of the Fed’s post-rate decision statement, and bitcoin’s consolidation around the $29,000 mark might face downside pressure should hawkish sentiments persist.

© 2023 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Bank objections over state provision could complicate stablecoin bill

A portion of the stablecoin bill due for consideration in the U.S. House of Representatives later this week has drawn concern from major trade associations representing the vast majority of U.S. financial institutions.

In two letters sent last week, both co-signed by the American Bankers Association, industry associations representing banks and credit unions took issue with part of the comprehensive regulatory framework for stablecoins that the House Financial Services Committee will debate and vote on Thursday.

Banks and credit unions object to current state charter option

Part of the bill, as currently written, would allow for state financial regulators to approve stablecoin issuance, an outcome that’s sparked concern from the ABA, the Consumer Bankers Association and Credit Union National Association. In a separate letter organized by the ABA, 49 state banking associations, as well as bankers from the U.S. territory of Puerto Rico, also raised similar concerns.

“To ensure effective consumer protection and financial stability, it is critical that the stablecoin ecosystem, like the banking ecosystem, is subject to strong regulatory oversight,” the ABA and state bankers associations wrote. The associations added that they want “the same level of Federal oversight to state-licensed stablecoin issuers as is currently applied to state-chartered banks.”

Likewise, the ABA, CBA, and CUNA raised concerns over increased “arbitrage” and “systemic risk” about the state regulatory approval approach within the bill, and called for stablecoin issuers to be subject to the same federal oversight that banks and credit unions receive.

“Given these entities’ intent to create new money, we believe they should be subject to at least the same form of supervision from a federal regulator as are state-chartered banks and credit unions,” the trio of national associations wrote. “The draft legislation, however, imposes critical limits on the role of a federal regulator to approve and supervise state-licensed payment stablecoin issuers and creates a regulatory arbitrage opportunity for nonbank entities to shop for the ‘best’ regulatory regime by state. Further, it is unlikely that states are prepared to regulate stablecoins on their own, especially given stablecoin issuers’ capacity to quickly scale into global stablecoins that facilitate international payments.”

The national trade associations asserted that stablecoins have “clear monetary policy implications” and call for “federal oversight that ensures financial stability and consumer protection.”

The groups also called on the stablecoin bill to include language mandating examinations by regulators and third-party audits of reserves that go beyond current asset reporting requirements within the bill, to ensure that stablecoin issuers have the assets they claim they do to fully back the fiat-denominated tokens they issue.

The national associations letter also called for an explicit ban, or at least limitations, on the ability of a commercial company to own or control a payment stablecoin issuer, similar to existing separations between commercial and banking companies in the U.S.

“These restrictions are critical to protect consumers from potential self-dealing or conflicts of interest,” the groups wrote.

View from the Hill

Industry opposition could sway Democrats, and possibly Republicans, from supporting the House Republican-drafted bill, which is the product of bipartisan negotiations stretching back to last summer.

Several Democrats on the Financial Services Committee, including the panel’s most senior Democrat, Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., have raised concerns over allowing too much leeway around the state approval of stablecoins. But the stablecoins bill is currently seen as having a greater chance of bipartisan support, and as a result passage into law, than a separate bill co-drafted by the Financial Services and Agriculture Committees that would create new, crypto-specific market regulation.

Early Tuesday morning, House Financial Services Committee Chair Patrick McHenry, R-N.C., pushed back scheduled committee debate over the stablecoins bill to Thursday, while the committee will still consider the market structure legislation on Wednesday.

© 2023 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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U.S. DOJ Needs 6-8 Weeks to Process Evidence Against Alex Mashinsky, Attorneys Tell Judge

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Elon Musk’s Twitter Overhaul Could Be Huge for DOGE and Crypto Generally

“Elon clearly has an affinity for DOGE, almost as part of a running joke, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he actually went through with enabling payments via DOGE.”

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