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The week in markets: Bitcoin up over the week, while Coinbase and Silvergate plummet, GBTC discount widens

Bitcoin and ether are trading higher ahead of U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s latest interest rate decision. Crypto stocks sank throughout the week.

Bitcoin was changing hands at about $17,108 at 3:30 p.m. EST on Sunday, representing a rise of about 1.4% over the past week. Ether was doing somewhat better, up 2% in the same period. ETH was trading at roughly $1,265.

Altcoins were less consistent, with several dropping over the week. Binance’s BNB slipped 0.5%, Ripple’s XRP fell 1% and dogecoin dipped 4.4%.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to announce an interest rate increase of 50 basis points on Wednesday. The increase would bring the Fed funds target rate range to between 4.25% to 4.5%. The CME’s group’s FedWatch tool — which analyzes Fed funds futures pricing data — sees a 78% probability of a 50 basis point increase. 

source: federalreserve.org and bea.gov

The U.S. inflation data for November drops on Tuesday. October inflation came in below estimates at 7.7%. 

Crypto stocks and structured products

The Nasdaq dipped 2.8%, while the S&P 500 shed 2.9%. 

Coinbase fell almost 17% over the week to trade at an all-time low of $40.24, according to Nasdaq data. Meanwhile, crypto bank Silvergate shed over 17% in the same period, trading around $21.43 at the close on Friday. 

Jack Dorsey’s Block was down more than 4.1% to $64.60. Elsewhere, Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy rose over 2.5% during the week to $203.25.

The discount on Grayscale’s GBTC to net asset value (NAV) continued to widen throughout the week. The discount reached 47.9% on Friday. The discount means shares in the fund trade at a discount of almost 48% versus the value of the bitcoin the fund holds.

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Adam Morgan McCarthy

Skepticism pervades crypto exchange liabilities reports, and Mazars

Questions are being asked about recent “not-audits” of crypto exchanges, as well as their preferred accounting firm, Mazars.

Binance, the biggest crypto exchange by volume, released a proof-of-reserves and proof-of-liabilities verification on Wednesday. It was conducted by accounting firm Mazars’ South African affiliate, and only some are satisfied with the level of transparency and information provided.

“Mazars’ report only shows a part of Binance’s assets and liabilities,” notes Eden Au, a research director at The Block, who added: “More information is needed to get a sense of the whole picture of the exchange’s solvency.”

Douglas Carmichael, an accounting professor at Baruch College and former chief auditor of the U.S. Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, told the Wall Street Journal something similar when he said that he “can’t imagine it answers all the questions an investor would have about the sufficiency of collateralization” and isn’t satisfactory to prove the exchange’s finances or liquidity.

Indeed, the report’s fine print clarifies that it should not be considered an audit, which Mazars also noted to The Block.

Others have taken a more cynical view. The well-known Twitter account “mgnr” went so far as to suggest that Binance may be co-mingling specific wallet addresses with exchange deposits and even choosing “to mislead.”

Binance aside, Mazars has proven to be a favorite for crypto exchanges looking to tell the world that their reserves are in order. Crypto.com released its own proof-of-reserves report from Mazars on Friday, and KuCoin has engaged the accounting firm to do the same.

Mazars popularity among crypto exchanges has been widely noted, which subsequently brought to light a less-than-glowing review. A 2022 report from the Financial Reporting Council concluded that Mazars has “been growing too fast, picking up higher risk audits being dropped by their peers, without adequate controls to ensure high quality audits.” FRC explained:

Four of the eight audits that we reviewed at Mazars and five of the 12 audits that we reviewed at BDO needed more than limited improvements. Three and four audits at Mazars and BDO respectively needed significant improvements. These results are worse than last year and suggest a downward trend which is unacceptable.

There is a long-standing industry maxim that says: “Don’t trust. Verify.” It remains to be seen if the wider industry will accept these current proof-of-liabilities reports from Mazars or demand increased financial transparency from private crypto exchanges.

“It’s great to see exchanges being more transparent,” Au said, “but more work need to be done.”

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Adam James

Binance locks withdrawals for some accounts amid what CEO calls ‘just market behavior’

Abnormal price movements on Binance, the leading crypto exchange by volume, sparked an internal investigation that led to CEO Changpeng Zhao concluding the movements were “just market behavior” — despite temporarily freezing withdrawals for some profiting accounts.

Binance’s official Twitter account announced the investigation at 3:10 a.m. ET. It later concluded that the odd price movements were not the result of compromised accounts or stolen API keys. The trading pairs involved included Sun Token, Ardor, Osmosis, FUNToken and Golem. 

“Based on our investigations so far, this appears to be just market behavior,” Zhao, who goes by “CZ,” tweeted before explaining: “One guy deposited funds and started buying. (Hackers don’t deposit). Other guys followed. Can’t see linkage between the accounts.”

Still, Binance “temporarily locked withdrawals on some of the profiting accounts,” according to its CEO — sparking debates about the role of centralized exchanges and how much they should intervene.

“We are aware of the concept of too much intervention from the platform,” CZ tweeted, adding: “There is a balance to how much we should intervene. Sometimes, these happen in free market, and we need to let it play out.”

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Adam James

FTX’s stranded customer funds draw attention from distressed asset investors

Credit investment firms are looking to buy claims from bankrupt crypto exchange FTX’s clients who could otherwise wait years for bankruptcy courts to decide payouts.

Apollo Global Management and Attestor are among the better-known investors to have held conversations on buying claims, according to a person familiar with the discussions. Niche investment firm 507 Capital has already purchased several claims from hedge funds that wanted quick exits from FTX even if it meant selling out at less than they might have received from the bankruptcy process. 

Once one of the world’s biggest crypto exchanges, FTX filed for bankruptcy protection last month, leaving about 1 million creditors owed billions of dollars in aggregate. The top 50 creditors alone are owed $3.1 billion, according to court filings. While many will wait for the results of a likely years-long bankruptcy process, others are turning to brokers and buyers of distressed debt for quick sales.

Collecting money now means taking massive losses on their positions by selling for just cents on the dollar to buyers with the patience to try and recover more from the bankruptcy process.

”Everyone wants to look at the claims but no one knows what they are doing,” said 507 Capital founder Thomas Braziel. ”One guy asked me what is a stablecoin. I said, ‘Dude, you are going to need to do research before our call,”’ Braziel said, referring to an investor who expressed interest in buying FTX claims. Spokespersons for Apollo and Attestor declined to comment.

Braziel has experience trading such tricky crypto positions, having bought claims against Tokyo-based crypto exchange Mt. Gox and other collapsed digital asset firms. Buying up claims on funds requires patience, however: It took eight years to clear up the legal mess following Mt. Gox’s 2014 hack. 

Hedge fund clients

With its supposed deep pools of liquidity, FTX was popular with institutional investors such as crypto hedge funds. Nickel Digital Asset Management has about $12 million stuck on the exchange, Chief Investment Officer Michael Hall told a conference last month. Ikigai Asset Management, a Puerto Rico-based crypto asset management startup, held a “large majority” of its assets on FTX, Chief Investment Officer Travis Kling wrote in a thread on Twitter. Galois Capital was another hedge fund to find much of its asset base was stuck.

Fund managers mostly want an exit so they can move on and not have to deal with the court process, Braziel said. Some FTX customers also told Braziel they wanted to close a sale of their claims by year-end so they could write down the losses against taxes.

Braziel said he had paid 5 to 6 cents on the dollar for FTX claims with a nominal value of $2 million, $3 million and $8 million. He is also in talks for a claim of about $100 million from a Singapore-based fund manager and has spoken to a German fund that has $23 million stuck with FTX. Funds pitching their claims for sale were usually asking for closer to 10 cents on the dollar, he said.

More art than science

Assessing the future value of a bankruptcy claim can be more art than science. Back-of-the-envelope calculations can give a sense of available assets versus liabilities, but the big returns are made in the legal arguments, Braziel said.

Among his legal strategies, Braziel is taking the bet that U.S. courts will recognize customer assets were held in trust under English trust law. Assets held under trust have preference over other claimants, meaning customers should get paid out first, he said. 

Not all the claims punted by brokers relate to customer assets. One document doing the rounds is an employment contract with a further nine years of guaranteed salary payments. The redacted FTX US contract, signed in August 2021, hides the name of the employee and job title and shows only the edges of a signature. The annual salary is $525,000 with a guaranteed 15% minimum annual pay raise plus a discretionary bonus. The contract has a 10-year term with a clause that if the employee was terminated for any reason, they would be paid any outstanding salary including annual pay raises.

One person who rejected purchasing a claim on the contract said no U.S. court would enforce such a clause and the outstanding salary owed had little value in a bankruptcy claim.

Disclaimer: Beginning in 2021, Michael McCaffrey, the former CEO and majority owner of The Block, took a series of loans from founder and former FTX and Alameda CEO Sam Bankman-Fried. McCaffrey resigned from the company in December 2022 after failing to disclose those transactions. 

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Benjamin Robertson

Blue-chip NFT sales surge as ether price stagnates

Trading volumes for some top NFT projects are surging while the price of ether stagnates below $1,300.

Over the past 24 hours, “web3 anime universe” Azuki has seen an increase of more than 490% in the number of transactions and a 550% increase in the number of sales, according to NFT analytics platform CryptoSlam. Azuki “sidekicks” BEANZ has seen a 1,000% increase in the number of transactions and a 631% in the number of sales.

Meanwhile, Meebits has seen a 2,457% increase in transactions and a 1,472% increase in sales. At the same time, fellow Yuga Labs-owned IP CryptoPunks has seen a 300% increase in transactions and a 255% increase in sales.

The list continues — for example, Limit Break’s anime-style DigiGaikagu collection has seen a 1,700% increase in the number of transactions and a 1,210% increase in sales during the same period.

Despite a hot past 24 hours, broader NFT trading volumes remain significantly down from their all-time highs.

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Adam James

Arbitrum money market Lodestar Finance exploited

Lodestar Finance, a lending platform on Ethereum scaling-solution suite Arbitrum, was attacked and exploited for about $6.5 million.

“Protocol was exploited and deposits have been drained,” the project’s Twitter account said on Dec. 10 at 4:14 p.m. ET, while also declaring that it “set all interest rates to zero so that supply and borrow balances are not moving while we weigh recovery options.”

The exploiter was able to successfully manipulate the exchange rate of the plvGLP token to 1.83 GLP per plvGLP — making it 83% more valuable than it should have been. Using the inflated tokens as collateral, the exploiter could then remove all available liquidity on Lodestar Finance through bad debt.

The profits were bridged to Ethereum.

Other holders of plvGLP were able to use the exploiter’s actions to their advantage by cashing out 1.83 GLP per plvGLP, Lodestar Finance noted.

According to the lending platform, 2.8 million GLP — worth $2.4 million at the time — can be recovered. It is also attempting to negotiate with the exploiter.

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Adam James

Grayscale says SEC filed first legal brief in ongoing bitcoin futures ETF lawsuit

Grayscale Investments said the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission has filed its first legal brief in the lawsuit the crypto asset manager filed over the rejection of its application for a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

“This is the next milestone in our ongoing litigation following the filing of our opening brief on October 11 and the supporting amicus briefs shortly after,” the company said Friday in a statement.

In an October opening brief, Grayscale’s legal argument centered around what it said was an uneven application of law after regulators approved bitcoin futures that are tied to spot market pricing. The SEC rejected Grayscale’s request to convert its flagship GBTC fund into an ETF in late June, and the company has argued the refusal harms its 850,000 investors who already own shares in the trust.

In the 73-page response brief, the SEC argued its rejection was “reasonable, reasonably explained, supported by substantial evidence,” with “no inconsistency in the Commission’s disapproval of Grayscale’s spot ETP despite having approved two CME bitcoin futures ETPs.”

The SEC said futures and spot-based bitcoin funds are “fundamentally different products.

‘Uneven playing field’

“The Commission previously approved ETPs that hold only futures contracts that trade on the CME, which is registered with the CFTC; those ETPs’ underlying assets are thus subject to robust surveillance,” it said. “The bitcoin spot market, by contrast, is fragmented and unregulated, and petitioner presented no supportable basis to conclude that the CME’s surveillance of futures trading would sufficiently detect and deter fraud and manipulation targeting the bitcoin spot market and thereby protect against fraud and manipulation in Grayscale’s product.”

The SEC said its disapproval of Greyscale’s proposed ETF did not reflect an “impermissible, merits-based
skepticism of bitcoin as an investment.”

In response to the SEC filing, Grayscale reiterated its arguments from its opening brief and accused the SEC of “creating an uneven playing field for investors by approving Bitcoin futures-based ETFs, while continuously denying spot Bitcoin ETFs.”

“We look forward to reviewing the SEC’s reply brief,” the company said, noting that its next brief is due Jan. 13 before final briefs are due on Feb. 3.

The price of GBTC versus the bitcoin it actually holds hit an all-time low on Wednesday, with the discount ratio reaching 47.3%, according to data from The Block. The fund trades at a discount to the net asset value, as shares don’t grant the holder access to the underlying assets. 

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Nathan Crooks

Ripple sees promise in carbon credit and gaming NFTs despite market downturn

While Ripple Chief Technology Officer David Schwartz says he still gets most excited about payments, he’s also got his eye on carbon credits and gaming NFTs.

“We’re really excited about carbon credits,” he said in a Nov. 29 interview in Miami after speaking at the Decentral conference. “I think just because the fit seems to be really good. There’s a real problem in the carbon credit space right now of provenance and making sure that things aren’t issued, like there aren’t two sets of carbon credits.”

Gaming, meanwhile, is another area ripe for development, as Schwartz said non-fungible tokens can help studios more easily bring users along to their newest products.

“There are real problems in the gaming space that NFTs solve,” he said, noting that gamers tend to get comfortable in older games and can be hesitant to follow developers into newer products. “You have to start over from scratch, and there’s this feeling of loss. If you could take NFTs with you, then you wouldn’t have that feeling of loss, and you’d be more likely to migrate to the game that the game studio wants you on.”

Creator fund

Ripple doesn’t currently build consumer applications directly, but it looks for partners that can leverage the XRP ledger for its low cost and high-speed capabilities. It also has a $250 million creator fund that Schwartz said is being deployed carefully after some initial hesitancy.

“If I give you enough money, you’ll do something that makes no sense at all, right?” he said. “There’s no reason for you to jump up and down and cluck like a chicken, and if I give you $1,000 you might do it and I might say ‘look, look, this is a real use case. This is a real solution.’ And actually, what’s happening is I’m paying you to do something.”

Ripple went ahead with its own fund in an attempt to promote the development of realistic projects in ecosystems that make sense, Schwartz said, adding that Ripple usually requires developers to first raise outside cash and build a minimum viable product before Ripple creator funds are dispersed.

“There are people paying people to do stupid things,” Schwartz said. “And so if you want to get people to build projects that are going to be successful and steer them away from locking themselves into blockchains that have high fees and low throughput, or locking themselves into issuing a token that makes no sense for their project, money has to be part. You have to be smart about it … You have to be really careful that you’re not creating the illusion of success and progress.”

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Nathan Crooks

Analysis of Robinhood’s Comments at Goldman Sachs US Financial Services Conference

Quick Take

  • On December 7, Robinhood presented at Goldman’s U.S. Financial Service Conference 
  • Gave updated view on digital asset operations and strategy in the wake of Alameda / FTX collapse 
  • Increased market share as U.S. customers seek a regulated platform to gain digital asset exposure 
  • Currently trading at $9.39 intra-day, closed December 7 trading on at $9.26 / share, a (1.38%) 1-day and (57.7%) YTD change

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this Research content on The Block Research.

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Author: Greg Lim

Bank of England opens bids for CBDC sample wallet proof of concept

The Bank of England is seeking a proof of concept for a sample wallet for a Central Bank digital currency and will take applications through Dec. 23.

While the bank said it will not develop a user wallet itself, it wants to explore the “end-to-end user journey as a way to sharpen functional requirements for both the Bank and private sector” and make the CBDC product “more tangible for internal and external stakeholders.” Key deliverables include a wallet mobile app for both Android and iOS, a wallet website, an example merchant website and a back-end server.

The bank said it hasn’t previously done any work on a sample wallet for a potential CBDC. The budget range for the initial five-month contract is 200,000 pounds ($245,200). 

The bid process comes as Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt on Friday shared a package of 30 regulatory reforms for UK financial services that included the issuance of a digital pound. The so-called Edinburgh Reforms seek to boost economic growth post-Brexit and foster innovation.

© 2022 The Block Crypto, Inc. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Author: Nathan Crooks


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